Table 8

The sensitivities, specificities, and positive and negative predictive values calculated with a Manchester Scoring System cut-off score of ≥ 10 for each gene and ≥ 15 combined, and for BOADICEA score of ≥ 0.10 for each gene and ≥ 0.10 combined (ie, 10% probability of carrying a deleterious mutation)


Manchester Scoring System
BOADICEA



BRCA1
BRCA2
Combined
BRCA1
BRCA2
Combined

Area under the receiver operating curves
0.74
0.82
0.80
0.82
0.56
0.73
Standard error
0.078
0.079
0.06
0.070
0.093
0.061
95% CI
0.67 – 0.81
0.75 – 0.88
0.72 – 0.86
0.75 – 0.88
0.48 – 0.64
0.65 – 0.80
P valuea
0.0018
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.507
0.0001
Sensitivity
57%
55%
72%
57%
9%
40%
Specificity
76%
87%
74%
93%
93%
85%
Positive-predictive value
20%
25%
37%
47%
10%
36%
Negative-predictive value
94%
96%
93%
95%
93%
87%

aP value is the probability that the sample area under the ROC curve is found when in fact, the true area under the ROC curve is 0.5 (i.e. null hypothesis: Area = 0.5).

Thirthagiri et al. Breast Cancer Research 2008 10:R59   doi:10.1186/bcr2118

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