Table 8

The sensitivities, specificities, and positive and negative predictive values calculated with a Manchester Scoring System cut-off score of ≥ 10 for each gene and ≥ 15 combined, and for BOADICEA score of ≥ 0.10 for each gene and ≥ 0.10 combined (ie, 10% probability of carrying a deleterious mutation)

Manchester Scoring System

BOADICEA


BRCA1

BRCA2

Combined

BRCA1

BRCA2

Combined


Area under the receiver operating curves

0.74

0.82

0.80

0.82

0.56

0.73

Standard error

0.078

0.079

0.06

0.070

0.093

0.061

95% CI

0.67 – 0.81

0.75 – 0.88

0.72 – 0.86

0.75 – 0.88

0.48 – 0.64

0.65 – 0.80

P valuea

0.0018

0.0001

0.0001

0.0001

0.507

0.0001

Sensitivity

57%

55%

72%

57%

9%

40%

Specificity

76%

87%

74%

93%

93%

85%

Positive-predictive value

20%

25%

37%

47%

10%

36%

Negative-predictive value

94%

96%

93%

95%

93%

87%


aP value is the probability that the sample area under the ROC curve is found when in fact, the true area under the ROC curve is 0.5 (i.e. null hypothesis: Area = 0.5).

Thirthagiri et al. Breast Cancer Research 2008 10:R59   doi:10.1186/bcr2118

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