Breast Cancer Research

official impact factor 5.79

This article is part of the supplement: Symposium Mammographicum 2004

Oral presentation

The impact of mammographic screening on breast cancer mortality: overview of the evidence so far

R Gabe1 and SW Duffy2

Author Affiliations

1 Cancer Research UK, London, UK

2 Queen Mary University of London, UK

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Breast Cancer Res 2004, 6(Suppl 1):P7 doi:10.1186/bcr826


The electronic version of this article is the complete one and can be found online at:


Published:14 July 2004

©

Oral presentation

Controversy remains over the scale of benefit women can expect from attending mammographic screening programs. We review the evidence, presenting (1) an updated meta-analysis of the latest results from the randomised trials and (2) an overview of the non-randomised evidence.

After eight randomised trials with 12–20 years follow-up, the pooled results show a significant 20% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14%, 27%) reduction in breast cancer mortality associated with invitation to screening. When stratified by age, the reductions were 15% (95% CI: 2%, 27%) for women aged under 50 and 22% (95% CI: 14%, 30%) for women aged 50–74.

The search strategy for nonrandomised evidence relating to mortality yielded 12 descriptive studies, seven case-series, six case–control, eight cohort and three nonrandomised comparative studies. All indicated some benefit associated with screening. Overall, the case–control studies indicated a 35% (95% CI: 20%, 48%) reduction in breast cancer mortality associated with screening. The corresponding reduction for cohort studies was 44% (95% CI: 39%, 48%) for screening and 31% (95% CI: 21%, 40%) for invitation.

The majority of evidence from randomised and nonrandomised sources demonstrates a reduction in breast cancer mortality with screening. Studies should continue to monitor the benefit of screening programmes, taking care to address potential forms of bias.