Table 5

Ten-year risk of death in relation to Recurrence Score and tumor size and grade among ER-positive patients, stratified by treatment with tamoxifen

Risk classifier
Cases
Controls
10-Year risk







%
95% CI

Tamoxifen treated
Recurrence Score (55 cases and 150 controls)
     Low (<18)
29%
63%
2.8
(1.7–3.9)
     Intermediate (18–30)
40%
23%
10.7
(6.3–14.9)
     High (≥31)
31%
13%
15.5
(7.6–22.8)
Tumor size (55 cases and 150 controls)
     ≤1 cm
16%
31%
3.6
(1.7–5.5)
     1.1–2 cm
44%
43%
5.8
(3.7–7.8)
     >2 cm
40%
26%
9.3
(5.5–13.1)
Tumor grade (55 cases and 150 controls)
     Well
11%
33%
2.1
(0.7–3.5)
     Moderate
51%
46%
6.9
(4.7–9.0)
     Poor
38%
21%
9.9
(6.0–13.7)
Tumor size and grade (55 cases and 150 controls)
     ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
15%
43%
2.5
(1.2–3.9)
     >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
49%
39%
7.2
(4.9–9.5)
     >2 cm and moderate/poor
36%
18%
11.5
(6.6–16.2)
Recurrence Score, tumor size and grade
     Recurrence Score low <18 (16 cases and 95 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
6%
46%
0.4
(0.0–1.0)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
63%
39%
4.1
(2.0–6.2)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
31%
15%
6.9
(1.8–11.7)
     Recurrence Score intermediate 18–30 (22 cases and 35 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
32%
51%
6.8
(2.6–10.9)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
45%
29%
21.9
(5.0–35.8)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
23%
20%
13.5
(1.2–24.2)
     Recurrence Score high ≥31 (17 cases and 20 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
0%
10%
12.2
(0.0–31.0)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
41%
60%
10.9
(2.9–18.3)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
59%
30%
28.9
(7.4–45.3)
Tamoxifen untreated
Recurrence Score (110 cases and 251 controls)
     Low (<18)
36%
64%
6.2
(4.5–7.9)
     Intermediate (18–30)
29%
19%
17.8
(11.8–23.3)
     High (≥31)
35%
18%
19.9
(14.2–25.2)
Tumor size (110 cases and 251 controls)
     ≤1 cm
29%
39%
8.5
(6.0–10.9)
     1.1–2 cm
41%
45%
10.4
(7.8–12.9)
     >2 cm
30%
16%
16.4
(11.4–21.0)
Tumor grade (110 cases and 251 controls)
     Well
15%
33%
5.5
(3.4–7.4)
     Moderate
49%
52%
11.2
(8.6–13.8)
     Poor
35%
15%
22.5
(15.9–28.6)
Tumor size and grade (110 cases and 251 controls)
     ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
27%
50%
6.2
(4.3–8.0)
     >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
45%
37%
14.2
(10.8–17.4)
     >2 cm and moderate/poor
27%
13%
19.1
(13.2–24.7)
Recurrence Score, tumor size and grade
     Recurrence Score low <18 (40 cases and 160 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
35%
63%
3.0
(1.7–4.3)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
48%
31%
11.0
(7.0–14.8)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
17%
6%
20.2
(6.1–32.2)
     Recurrence Score intermediate 18–30 (32 cases and 47 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
34%
38%
17.0
(8.2–24.9)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
38%
34%
20.9
(10.2–30.4)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
28%
28%
22.0
(9.3–32.9)
     Recurrence Score high ≥31 (38 cases and 44 controls)




          ≤2 cm and well or ≤1 cm and moderate
13%
14%
25.0
(7.9–39.0)
          >2 cm and well, or 1.1–2 cm and moderate, or ≤2 cm and poor
50%
59%
21.0
(13.8–27.5)
          >2 cm and moderate/poor
37%
27%
25.3
(15.1–34.3)

CI, confidence interval; ER, estrogen receptor.

Habel et al. Breast Cancer Research 2006 8:R25   doi:10.1186/bcr1412